Making Sense of our Complicated World - Rancho La Puerta
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Making Sense of our Complicated World

Week of January 19, 2019

Artificial Intelligence.

  • AI has already transformed the work place – but this is only the beginning.
  • There is now a race on to determine which businesses and governments will achieve AI supremacy.
  • Large and small entities alike are jumping on the band wagon. What does it take to be successful utilizing AI?
  • How is the landscape changing, and what may the future look like?


 Artificial Intelligence (AI) is having a profound impact on us all, yet many of us do not appreciate how it is changing the world we live in, of the impact it is having on organizations. In his latest book – Achieving AI Supremacy – Daniel Wagner unpacks some of the ways AI is progressing and will discuss not only what individuals should know about AI, but what organizations and governments must do to stay a step ahead of the competition in the race to achieve AI supremacy.


Understanding Cyber Terrorism. 

  • Cyber terrorism is not someone else’s problem, half a world away, it is everyone’s problem.
  • Whether you realize it or not, it has already either impacted you, or it will at some point in the future.
  • It is important to understand what the threat is in order to combat it.
  • Whether as individuals, businesses or governments, we all need to establish greater cyber resiliency in order to protect ourselves.


Daniel Wagner’s book – Virtual Terror”– discusses what this phenomenon is, why it is important, and what we can do about it. From redefining what cyber terrorism is today to exploring its impact on such things as social media, banking, and telecommunications, to the role that drones, biometrics, and Artificial Intelligence play in the mosaic, Wagner will provide a broad overview of the challenges, how we can protect ourselves, and a roadmap for the future. 


Global Risk Agility and Decision Making. 

  • Our world is changing. The era of man-made risk is here.
  • It impacts us every day – even if we do not realize it.
  • By being aware of it, we can be proactive in how we manage it.
  • Modifying your decision-making process is key.
  • Doing so will enable you to make safer decisions.
  • It will also prepare you for the future.


We have become so accustomed to hearing news about climate change, cyber risk, and acts of terrorism that they have become part of our daily lives, yet many of us do not spend much time thinking about how our world is changing. By focusing on the era of man-made risk that is upon us, we can change how we think about our future, and that of our children. Man-made risk is manageable, but it requires a shift in how we think about the world, and ultimately, the decisions we make.

Based on his book Global Risk Agility and Decision Making, Daniel Wagner puts it all into perspective, giving real world and practical examples about how the era of man-made risk impacts us, and what some individuals and companies are doing to change the way they view the world, and manage their businesses.


Making Sense of the World.

  • What are some of the longer-term challenges that impact America and the world?
  • What can we expect from the world in the coming year?
  • How are international relations likely to change?
  • What impact is all this likely to have on the United States?
  • What can America do to maintain its standing in the world?


 How do we make sense of all the changes going on in the world? How do some of the longer-term trends impact the U.S. and its allies? While we cannot know for certain what path the world will take in the coming months and years, we can learn from recent history what to expect, and what the implications are. Daniel Wagner uses his crystal ball to discuss what the likely twists and turns will be in the future.



Daniel Wagner is the founder and CEO of Country Risk Solutions. He has three decades of experience managing cross-border risk, is an authority on political risk insurance (PRI) and analysis, and has 12 years of underwriting experience with AIG, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), and the World Bank Group.

Prior to founding CRS in 2009 Daniel was Senior Vice President of Country Risk at GE Energy Financial Services in Stamford, Connecticut. At GE he was part of a team investing billions of dollars annually into global energy projects, with a total portfolio of $20 billion of assets in 20 countries. Daniel was responsible for advising senior management on a variety of country risk-related issues, strategic planning, and portfolio management. He created a Center of Excellence for country risk analysis in GE and led a team that produced a comprehensive automated country risk rating methodology.

Daniel began his career at AIG in New York and subsequently spent five years as Guarantee Officer for the Asia Region at the World Bank Group’s Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) in Washington, D.C. During that time he was responsible for underwriting PRI for projects in a dozen Asian countries. After then serving as Regional Manager for Political Risks for Southeast Asia and Greater China for AIG in Singapore, Daniel moved to Manila, Philippines where he was Guarantee and Risk Management Advisor, Political Risk Guarantee Specialist, and Senior Guarantees and Syndications Specialist for the ADB’s Office of Cofinancing Operations. Over the course of his career Daniel has also held senior positions in the PRI brokerage business.

Daniel has published more than 600 articles on risk management and current affairs, as well as four books: “Virtual Terror”, “Global Risk Agility and Decision Making” (co-authored), “Managing Country Risk”, and “Political Risk Insurance Guide”. His new book on Artificial Intelligence will be published in Fall 2018. He is a regular contributing writer to the South China Morning Post and Sunday Guardian, among many other current affairs and risk management publications. He holds master’s degrees in International Relations from the University of Chicago and in International Management from the American Graduate School of International Management (Thunderbird) in Phoenix. He received his bachelor’s degree in Political Science from Richmond College in London.